The road ahead for Sidhu and the BJP






Amitabh Shukla | in Oped

Navjot Singh Sidhu's exit may not hurt the BJP, but in case he joins the AAP, it will be a challenge for him to get used to the dictatorial-style of Arvind Kejriwal


The exit of Navjot Singh Sidhu from the BJP might not have much impact on the Punjab unit of the party, except on its psychological bearings to some extent, in the run-up to the Assembly poll early next year. Despite loud claims of the new patrons of Sidhu, he was practically out of politics for a pretty long time; he hardly campaigned for the BJP in the 2014 Lok Sabha election and had even boycotted the campaign for his political ‘guru', Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, in Amritsar Lok Sabha seat. To add to his political see-saw, now, he has ditched the man he often called his ‘role model' — Prime Minister Narendra Modi — despite being given a Rajya Sabha nomination, barely three months ago.

It is a different matter altogether that had Sidhu contested the Amritsar Lok Sabha seat, his defeat margin could have been much higher than that of Jaitley and he would have left politics. When I was in Amritsar, covering the campaign for the 2014 Lok Sabha poll, I felt that there was a discernible undercurrent against Sidhu and his two terms as an MP, and it proved to be costly for Jaitley. What made matters worse was an intransigent approach of Sidhu who refused to be seen on the same platform with Jaitley throughout the campaign, despite being the sitting MP from the place. No one in the BJP ever asked Sherry, as Sidhu is popularly known, if it was prudent and morally correct to ditch a ‘guru’ for one's ego and nothing else?

In fact, indications of growing unpopularity of the sitting MP became visible in the last few years. Sidhu's wife, Navjot Kaur Sidhu won from Amritsar East constituency in 2012 Assembly poll, a part of Sidhu's constituency then, narrowly only because of a rebel Congress candidate who was in the second position. Sidhu himself won the 2009 Lok Sabha poll by merely 7,000 votes, a far cry from the voter percentage of over 55 he got in the 2004 poll and over 50 in the 2007 by-election.

His victory margin in the three elections he fought from the holy city, including a by-election, consistently came down. The biggest fault for the BJP was that it could not see the writing on the wall as far as the role of Sidhu was concerned and continued to trust the former Indian cricketer despite his direct and indirect role in the defeat of Jaitley. It was fairly clear then that Sidhu could not be trusted for a bigger role in the party.

The reasons for Sidhu's disenchantment is not far to seek. He could not get big ticket projects for his constituency, he could not build a bridge with the cadres of the BJP as he never felt he was a part of them and was continuously in bickering mode with the ruling Shiromani Akali Dal which the BJP had allied with. Also, perhaps he nursed the idea of heading the SAD-BJP coalition one day which was not practical as SAD was the bigger part of the alliance.

Sidhu's desire that the BJP should severe its ties with the SAD lacked political imagination from the very beginning. Given the socio-religious dimensions of Punjab and it being a Sikh-dominated State, the BJP was not in a position to think about it. Also, the BJP is present largely in the cities and urban pockets of the State and cannot do without the massive rural and Jat peasantry support of the Akali Dal. Moreover, given the tumultuous past of the State and militancy, leaders like Parkash Singh Badal, may have other limitations and inadequacy, but have continuously worked for communal amity and a SAD-BJP alliance was crucial in this scheme of things.

In fact, his wife and MLA from Amritsar, Navjot Kaur Sidhu too simply ranted the political views of her husband. She was at loggerheads with almost everyone in Punjab BJP and the Akali Dal and was a “rebel without cause” as a BJP leader put it.

Even though Sidhu's exit may not hurt the BJP to that extent as he was, in any case, a non-playing batsman, it would definitely bolster the chances of Aam Aadmi Party as and when he decides to join it. Playing the role of non-conformist throughout his political career would help him in his new avatar and give him fresh political life. However, he still will have to conform to the norms of the AAP and the one-man dictatorship that has emerged in the party of late. It will of course be a challenge to the new convert to AAP ideology given his past record. (July 21, 2016)

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